Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.226660 3.582149 3.967146 4.416152 4.926768 5.490927 6.163535
2025-05-04 2.753350 3.238861 3.802195 4.508332 5.375646 6.413653 7.761236
2025-05-11 2.435262 2.988308 3.663444 4.556910 5.721140 7.204667 9.267143
2025-05-18 2.201631 2.793985 3.547173 4.588966 6.014551 7.929627 10.753431
2025-05-25 1.960431 2.555389 3.336991 4.457562 6.053907 8.294984 11.768704
2025-06-01 1.792170 2.392129 3.203552 4.405055 6.180577 8.776572 12.993032
2025-06-08 1.659198 2.262237 3.099474 4.376155 6.327401 9.290195 14.319390
2025-06-15 1.598413 2.226334 3.121432 4.527736 6.752766 10.266575 16.514812
2025-06-22 1.499065 2.125371 3.038097 4.508698 6.905047 10.819514 18.068245
2025-06-29 1.404449 2.023402 2.943636 4.460846 7.001125 11.283137 19.520787
2025-07-06 1.277443 1.863432 2.748316 4.233752 6.774579 11.165795 19.876356
2025-07-13 1.219424 1.805104 2.705977 4.251078 6.962690 11.792864 21.740041
2025-07-20 1.178853 1.772653 2.704262 4.339585 7.290897 12.725615 24.394274
2025-07-27 1.139855 1.739962 2.699534 4.422186 7.617055 13.695952 27.302004
2025-08-03 1.097048 1.697935 2.675766 4.468220 7.878566 14.571334 30.159874
2025-08-10 1.055080 1.654309 2.645688 4.499267 8.112946 15.419166 33.109744
2025-08-17 0.989276 1.566656 2.534112 4.370849 8.020321 15.573398 34.433137
2025-08-24 0.941579 1.506884 2.466943 4.319542 8.076051 16.048921 36.634538
2025-08-31 0.901155 1.457242 2.414318 4.291305 8.175415 16.631083 39.220497
2025-09-07 0.890009 1.457799 2.451287 4.439392 8.659679 18.147028 44.623070
2025-09-14 0.855449 1.414907 2.406200 4.420794 8.782169 18.834432 47.866188
2025-09-21 0.819351 1.367310 2.349466 4.374046 8.837389 19.366492 50.772660
2025-09-28 0.762356 1.279174 2.212103 4.152162 8.477672 18.830657 50.344733